Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1287.810734 1461.885885 1654.659702 1884.635571 2152.381101 2455.278867 2825.320067
2025-10-12 1028.950383 1261.763158 1543.756108 1913.324587 2389.092714 2986.649390 3802.956920
2025-10-19 879.654629 1135.567719 1464.808026 1925.116292 2561.102370 3422.318963 4700.086019
2025-10-26 775.488981 1042.484860 1402.843381 1933.658432 2710.871415 3831.626751 5615.842506
2025-11-02 710.983971 989.987342 1382.659503 1988.454747 2922.917524 4349.990723 6775.582634
2025-11-09 655.105476 940.496953 1357.141952 2026.771406 3109.086324 4850.378954 7994.640405
2025-11-16 606.043202 893.995253 1328.345289 2052.678392 3274.363779 5336.837764 9278.648927
2025-11-23 564.078976 852.842287 1301.596815 2075.826107 3434.474154 5834.554378 10677.400706
2025-11-30 531.376557 822.188192 1287.009935 2115.317418 3625.290370 6412.818484 12346.507241
2025-12-07 484.266989 763.479897 1220.097941 2055.677858 3627.718383 6638.785019 13345.645996
2025-12-14 442.991899 710.501240 1157.279927 1995.184048 3618.640163 6837.890321 14324.726242
2025-12-21 404.842616 659.448835 1092.850321 1924.052535 3578.548106 6966.260196 15169.394020
2025-12-28 392.120011 651.560774 1104.166460 1997.777051 3840.384064 7776.493239 17836.144318
2026-01-04 373.949029 632.550162 1093.768171 2028.677123 4019.656775 8442.407330 20331.920273
2026-01-11 355.058593 610.511199 1075.480593 2041.293330 4161.065948 9047.023219 22832.210269
2026-01-18 337.490823 589.356062 1056.730666 2050.434507 4295.605958 9659.379702 25528.839004
2026-01-25 327.246211 580.939582 1061.491982 2109.083603 4551.383808 10618.703029 29537.429726
2026-02-01 315.742237 569.122377 1058.350624 2150.104632 4771.722235 11531.440380 33704.568992
2026-02-08 303.692502 555.248278 1049.738071 2177.844839 4963.863247 12408.248840 38058.253038
2026-02-15 292.233390 541.621881 1040.357000 2202.633709 5152.420113 13314.858857 42846.866801
2026-02-22 283.183436 532.103746 1038.638042 2244.931773 5393.166072 14425.201227 48817.852648
2026-03-01 265.459561 503.652000 994.353237 2181.056796 5340.619119 14644.088455 51414.929634
2026-03-08 249.025396 476.791115 951.480319 2116.287247 5276.965382 14818.252376 53910.395922